Delayed Rain May Drive Food Prices Higher: Here’s Why


The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Friday that a prolonged monsoon break is likely to affect the critical paddy planting season in northern and eastern India, which could also lead to increased prices of certain food products.

According to IMD data cited by Hindustan times.

The monsoon trough plays a crucial role in rainfall across the country. A southward shift from its normal position brings an active monsoon over most of the country, while a northward shift means light rainfall over the country and heavy showers along the foothills of the Himalayas, according to the IMD reports.

According Hindustan time reports, a weak monsoon is expected across the country for about a next week, with the monsoon trough likely to move north. Experts said the delayed planting is likely to lead to higher prices for various food items, amid rising inflation in the country.

Data from the weather forecasting agency shows that there is currently 9% excess rain over the country with a deficit of 16% over eastern India and northeast India; 4% surplus over northwest India; 21% surplus over central India and 28% surplus over the southern peninsula.

However, in July this year, there was 19.1% excess rain till Friday with a deficit of 47.3% over East India and North East India; 50.1% in central India; 63% surplus over peninsular India and 10.1% surplus over northwestern India.

On Friday, most of the paddy belt in the Indo-Gangetic plains recorded a rain deficit of more than 40%, Gangetic West Bengal recorded a rain deficit of 47%; Jharkhand 50%; Bihar recorded 41%; eastern Uttar Pradesh 52% and western Uttar Pradesh 47%. Over peninsular India, Kerala and Mahe recorded a 25% rainfall deficit, according to IMD data.

Meanwhile, IMD senior scientist RK Jenamani said rainfall has been decreasing across the country over the past two years as the monsoon trough shifts north. He said the weather forecasting agency expects rains to resume over northeast India, but only isolated rains are likely over Bihar, UP, Gangetic WB, etc. . for the moment.

The IMD official said the monsoon trough is likely to move north and stay there until at least August 2, and after that it may move south.

GV Ramanjaneyulu, executive director of the Center for Sustainable Agriculture in Hyderabad, quoted by excluding tax said planting will not take place until mid-August in most parts of eastern India, which will have a widespread impact on farmers, as well as ordinary people.

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